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Monday, April 21, 2014

2nd Basemen Results and Era-adjusted Formulas for Fielding Linear Weights

First, I will give you the formulas so you know how I arrived at the numbers I did.  I believe my method for second basemen works for all eras, and I hope by the end of this you will see things my way on it too. 


1900-1944 Formulas

2nd Base:

Putouts plus Assists plus Double Plays (divided by 3),       divided by Errors (divided by 1.5), divided by 8

Range Factor above 5.75 (+10 runs)

Range Factor above 5.25 (+5 runs)

Range Factor in 5.25-5.15 (0 runs)

Range Factor in 5.15-4.70 (-5 runs)

Range Factor in 4.69-4.00 (-10 runs)

 

1945-1966

Putouts plus Assists plus DP (divided by three) divided by errors (divided by 1.3), divided by 8

Range Factor above 5.50 (+10 runs)

Range Factor above 5.25 (+5 runs)

Range Factor in 5.24-5.00 (-5 runs)

Range Factor in 5.00-4.50 (-10 runs)

 

1967-1997

Putouts plus Assists plus DP (divided by 3) divided by errors, divided by 8

Range Factor above 5.50 (15+ runs)

Range Factor in 5.49-5.30 (10+ runs)

Range Factor in 5.30-4.80 (3+ runs)

Range Factor in 4.79-4.50 (-2 runs)

Range Factor in 4.49-4.20 (-7 runs)
 
 
 
 
1998-2014
Putouts plus Assists plus DP (divided by 3) divided by errors, divided by 8
Range Factor above 5.50 (25+ runs)
Range Factor above 5.00 (10+ runs)
Range Factor in 5.00-4.60 (3+ runs)
Range Factor in 4.59-4.00 (-5 runs)
Range Factor below 4 (-15 runs)
I realize these are not 100% perfect, one may argue I placed to much value on the statistic of Range Factor.  I see what you are pointing at but I think the entire method, 90% of the time sorts good fielders from bad fielders and vice versa.
 
The results are from the years 1916, 1945, 1967, 1998, the 2nd basemen are chosen from the NL and AL, one league on year, then to the next.  So, now enjoy the results.  Remember to use this post   http://mlbrumblings.blogspot.com/2014/04/2nd-base-era-fielding-stats.html   to look at all the below players stats like putouts, assists, range factor. 
 
Name
Fielding Linear Weights
Fielding Runs
Nap Lajoie
14
27
Eddie Collins
10
-7
Ralph Young
9
-6
Joe Gedeon
0
-13
Del Pratt
17
20
Ray Morgan
-5
-11
George Cuftsaw
6
6
Bert Niehoff
4
1


The other night, if you happen to be one of my 40 followers on Twitter (@CastroRizzo) I talked on the subject of Nap Lajoie and his fielding stats.  By Fielding Runs, Nap actually rivals Bill Mazeroski as the best fielding player of all time.  This is in part because of his outstanding Range Factor, even in those times it was exceptionally high.  Bill James in his massive Win Shares book lays out an argument like this.  "In 1916, at least, Nap was that fielder that made plays.  He was surrounded by minor league veterans and rookies who would never play in the Majors again.  Every team has somebody that makes the plays, because all teams must get 27 outs to complete a game.  Nap was that 41 year old guy that did on a team that went 37-116."  Anyway, moving off the topic of Nap, Del Pratt was an outstanding fielder, getting tons of putouts and assists.  He had the highest range factor of this bunch at 5.88.  Only Nap comes close with 5.51 mark. 
 
 
Name
Fielding Linear Weights
Fielding Runs
Don Johnson
11
15
Emil Verban
2
-21
Eddie Stanky
14
9
Pete Coscarart
3
21
George Hausmann
15
2
Whitey Wietelmann
-5
-5
Woody Williams
0
-8
Tony Daniels
-2
4
 
Not much to say about this group, except Emil Verban, I don't understand the hate on him from Fielding Runs.  My system says he was slightly above average at 2+.  He had the 4th highest Range Factor, turned a lot of double plays, and made few errors compared to the other fielders in this bunch.
 
Name
Fielding Linear Weights
Fielding Runs
Julian Javier
7
-18
Tito Fuentes
-1
17
Glenn Beckert
7
-2
Tommy Helms
2
-20
Cookie Rojas
-1
-1
Bill Mazeroski
22
21
Woody Woodward
11
10
Ron Hunt
3
-12
Joe Morgan
9
1
Jerry Buchek
-1
-3
 
Bill Mazeroski is unsurprisingly seen as the best fielder in 1967 2nd basemen.  My system compares very closely to Fielding Runs on him.  Julian Javier is rated way lower then he should be.  I don't understand this one at all.  High range factor, errors higher then most guys but still.  Julian is unfairly treated which is hard coming out of my mouth, I'm a Cubs fan, and he was a Cardinals player. 
 
Name
Fielding Linear Weights
Fielding Runs
Roberto Alomar
11
21
Miguel Cairo
9
17
Joey Cora
-11
-35
Ray Durham
0
1
Damion Easley
19
26
Chuck Knoblauch
2
1
Mark McLemore
8
-5
Jose Offerman
8
6
Todd Walker
1
-20
Scott Spiezo
0
-3

Joey Cora, I must say is a dreadful fielder.  In my system it's just plain hard to get below -10 runs, which I most likely will eventually fix but if anybody deserves it, it's him.  3.66 Range Factor is terrible.  Damion Easley was pretty good, one of the few things the systems agree on. 


Ok, so that's something I'm going to do for the other seven positions I'm going to do.  It should be done faster now that I know more what I'm doing.  Thanks for reading! 

 
 

 

Saturday, April 19, 2014

2nd Base Era Fielding Stats

First off, I've made some bigger breakthroughs. 

A) I've began to work on 2nd base position Fielding Linear Weights Era-Adjusted formulas. 

B) It's time consuming and this project will take a while before it's complete. 

C) I do have another rating system to use, however it's a fluky one.  From the 2008 ESPN Baseball Encyclopedia, Fielding Runs.  It has everybody from 1871-2008, so I'll use that as a 2nd reference on some of the charts below.


First 8 1916 2nd basemen fielding stats.

 
Name
Putouts
Assists
Errors
Fielding Runs
Double Plays
Range Factor
Nap Lajoie
254
325
16
27
61
5.51
Eddie Collins
346
415
19
-7
75
4.91
Ralph Young
345
419
29
-6
55
5.23
Joe Gedeon
235
341
27
-13
55
4.72
Del Pratt
438
491
33
20
74
5.88
Ray Morgan
184
246
22
-11
34
4.33
GeorgeCutsaw
361
467
36
6
51
5.38
Bert Niehoff
287
441
50
1
65
5.01

Fielding Runs are not my formula of course, but I was quite confused on the rather high rating on Nap Lajoie.   He was 41 years old when he played this season and yet he's considered the best defensive 2nd basemen in baseball.  I will use these stats to construct the formula for 1900-1925. 


1945 NL 2nd basemen

 

Player
Putouts
Assists
Errors
Fielding Runs
Double Plays
Range Factor
Team Record
Don Johnson
309
440
19
15
74
5.43
98-56
Emil Verban
398
406
18
-21
95
5.19
95-59
Eddie Stanky
429
441
34
9
101
5.65
87-67
Pete Coscarart
257
362
14
21
74
5.03
82-72
George Hausmann
376
489
29
2
65
5.62
78-74
Whitey Wietelmann
303
338
21
-5
76
4.97
67-85
Woody Williams
295
393
22
-8
61
5.17
61-93
Tony Daniels
171
208
20
4
41
5.08
46-108


These looked just all messed up to me.  Tony Daniels stood out to me, that would be his only season ever playing in the Major Leagues, and from the looks of it expect for the rather bad Fielding Runs metric say he's not the best.  He only played 80-100 games though so make of it what you will.

This is the 1925-1950 stats I will use for the formula for 2nd base.



1967 NL 2nd base stats

 

Name
Putouts
Assists
Errors
Double Plays
Range Factor
Fielding Runs
Fielding %
Team Record
Julian Javier
311
352
24
72
4.80
-18
.965
101-60
Tito Fuentes
276
315
12
79
4.38
17
.980
91-71
Glenn Beckert
327
422
25
89
5.20
-2
.968
87-74
Tommy Helms
264
347
21
75
4.56
-20
.978
87-75
Cookie Rojas
297
360
15
92
4.27
-1
.977
82-80
Bill Mazeroski
417
498
18
131
5.61
21
.981
81-81
Woody Woodward
300
385
11
86
5.04
10
.982
77-85
Ron Hunt
215
235
12
51
4.59
-12
.980
73-89
Joe Morgan
299
344
14
67
4.91
1
.979
69-93
Jerry Buchek
226
300
12
59
4.35
-3
.977
61-101
 


As you might notice we're kind of expanding what the charts hold, this time adding Fielding %, these will be the stats from 1960-1997

1998 AL 2nd Basemen Fielding Stats

Name
Putouts
Assists
Errors
DP
Range Factor
Fielding Runs
Fielding %
Roberto Alomar
251
449
11
86
4.86
21
.985
Miguel Cairo
278
429
16
109
4.78
17
.978
Joey Cora
243
310
20
76
3.66
-35
.965
Ray Durham
282
438
18
128
4.56
1
.976
Damion Easley
285
439
11
102
5.17
26
.985
Chuck Knoblauch
275
408
13
86
4.58
1
.981
Mark McLemore
249
332
15
71
4.76
-5
.975
Jose Offerman
277
440
19
113
4.72
6
.974
Todd Walker
219
363
13
72
4.16
-20
.978
Scott Spiezio
198
316
13
72
4.59
-3
.975


Ok so now you know the people and years I will be using for my test formulas, look for my 2nd base era adjusted formulas soon.