What is the law of luck? Luck is everywhere and everyone has more of it then you do.
First, how do we determine a pitcher's luck? The first theory came from Voros McCracken. He noticed something that surprisingly nobody had ever realized before. Pitchers can not control balls that are put into play. It was quite a bold statement. The only components that they could control were:
-Homeruns
-Strikeouts
-Walks
-Hit by Pitch and other rare events
He noticed that a pitcher's BABIP (Batting Average on Balls in Play) vary greatly from season to season. So, he invented DIPS (Defense Independent Stats) This was another thing to look at along the lines of ERA. Since this discovery over ten years ago the saber metric community developed FIP which I have mentioned on this blog before. And for this discovery, Voros now lives broke and alone. He said he's happy to have done it, and now spends his day cherishing over international soccer.
Soon, we will take a look at pitcher's that have experienced lucky and not so lucky seasons. Thanks for reading.
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