Pages

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Total Runs, An Introduction

A baseball player is just a hitter, or a fielder, or even a base runner.  He's all of these things.  How can we measure this is an run form.

Run Form?

What I mean by run form is that it is in the form of runs and not Wins like WAR attempts to do.

Formula?

The formula for this stat is:
Runs Created+ Defensive Runs Saved+ Base running Runs+ Positional Adjustment

For the Positional Adjustment we use the following method.
Catcher:42 runs
First Base:13 runs
Second Base:32 runs
Shortstop:36 runs
Third Base:25 runs
Left Field:19 runs
Center Field:29 runs
Right Field:20 runs
DH:-7 runs

This is formula is not like where you can total up a team's total runs and get around the number of runs they scored that year. 

Now let's see some of the more interesting results, from 2012 stats,


Results

Based on 2012 stats, we see the following. 

Darwin Barney is an interesting case.  Barney's worth to his team in the form of Total Runs went like this.
Barney Runs Created:60
Barney DRS:28
Barney Base running runs:4.3
Barney Positional Adjustment:32 runs

Barney Total Runs: 124.3

This is actually quite a high total, mainly because of his defensive contributions.  You will be shocked to know what I figured next though.

Miguel Cabrera on 2012 stats is an interesting case also.

Cabrera RC:123
Cabrera DRS:-4
Cabrera BsR:-2.9
Cabrera Positional Adjustment:141.1 runs

The Total Runs separating them?  16.8 runs...

Barney is an extreme under rated based on this metric, or is it saying Cabrera is overrated?  No matter the reason, I think this stat is a very good one.

  

No comments:

Post a Comment