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Saturday, August 3, 2013

Puig or Fernandez?


                                                           
The last few years a lot of rookies have burst onto the scene.  Last year it was Mike Trout and Bryce Harper.  This year it’s Jose Fernandez and Yasiel Puig at least in the National League.  These two rookies have both done tremendous in their short time in the Majors, but if you had to pick today, who would you pick for NL Rookie of the Year?

Let’s start with Puig first.  If you’re on the West Coast, you’re thinking Puig because well the media practically worships him over there.  He is having a tremendous rookie year.  Let’s look into some stats…

 

.371/.423/.599/ A few more walks would be nice but when you’re setting the world on fire well walks don’t matter.

The base running is what kinds of sets me down on Puig, he gets out on the base quite a lot.  BsR or Base running runs above average says Puig has cost his team -2.3 runs on the bases this year, which is not good.  He must think he is faster then he really his because it also shows in his SB and CS numbers.  7 stolen bases, 5 caught stealing.  But for fans him running his exciting to watch because you’re never know what will happen with the “speedy” Puig on the bases. 

 

His Fangraphs WAR is 3.1, while his Baseball-Reference WAR is 3.3 WAR. 

 

Another thing to note Puig only has 222 Plate Appearances since he made his Major League debut June 3rd, while the Miami Marlins rookie has been on his squad since Opening Day. 

 

Now for the pitcher.  Rookie right-hander Jose Fernandez, pitcher for the Miami Marlins has pitched brilliantly this season.  His ERA is 2.54.  Last night pitching against a Wild Card Leader, the Cleveland Indians, he threw 8 innings while allowing no runs with 3 hits allowed and a career high of 14 strikeouts.  So he’s pretty good…

 

Fernandez had never pitched a game at Double AA or Triple AAA before pitching in the MLB.  He just turned 21 also.  Fernandez’s FIP stands at 2.80 which means that his fielders are stepping up behind him a bit.  Even a 2.80 FIP is still considered ace-level however.  He is 8-5 on a terrible Miami Marlins team.  His K/9 is 9.73 showing dominance.  Marlins Park this year is actually a hitters park this year so take this into account also.  His Fangraphs WAR is 2.9 while his Baseball-Reference WAR is 3.9 showing that they clearly disagree on his WAR for some reason. 

 

I think I am going to end there with all the stats.  Now we need to decide who should be the NL Rookie of the year?  Fernandez or Puig?  I am going to give a slight edge to Jose Fernandez just because of the stats that were shown and that Puig his hurting his team on the bases while it doesn’t appear to me that Fernandez is hurting team at all. 

 

Thanks for reading, please comment who you think should win. 

      

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